Wrap of the Week: 2020-06-05

The maps here are showing our predictions made from data collected on Friday 5th June, just before the weekend. 

A lot of countries in our global predictions looked to be on the rise, namely Brazil, Saudi Arabia and the Philippines. 

Indonesia has dominated the top of the global list for a while or it has been close in spot number two or three. It has passed 30,000 confirmed infections but their death count is still relatively low. We can only assume that our predictions are taking into account the dispersed geography of the country and also the level of medical infrastructure available, both of which could lead to a large surge in fatalities. 

Yemen is predicted to be the third most at risk country globally, which comes a bit out of nowhere. They have under 500 cases, and just over 100 deaths. This data reflects that there is an imbalance most likely in testing which means that the true number of infections isn’t being collected so the mortality rate seems unprecedentedly high.  

In the USA it is refreshing to see that states such as New Jersey and New York seem to have fallen off the list for good after experiencing such devastating damage from the pandemic. West Virginia is now the most at risk state predicted by our data. Five deaths were reported on Friday so the number of deaths took a jump, and the total now rests at 78 for the state. However, they seem to be really on top of their testing and as of Saturday 109,657 tests have been performed in West Virginia. 

Brazil still stands to be the most at risk country in South America with a current total of 36,505 fatalities. However, Nicaragua is also having a rough time, predicted to be 4th most at risk in South America and 10th most at risk in the world. Their reported figures are extremely low in relation to other nations close by, and rumour is the government is purposely misdiagnosing COVID-19 deaths as “atypical pneumonia”, and their actual statistics are unfortunately a lot higher. 

In Africa, Algeria is predicted most at risk which hasn’t changed since previous weeks. 

In Sweden some regions we haven’t seen on our maps are predicted to be at risk. Kronobergs Län is at the top of the list, but given the lax restrictions in Sweden the constant spreading of the virus throughout different areas has already been taken somewhat into account.